Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

This paper empirically analyses the effect of oil price shocks on key macroeconomic indicators in the United Kingdom.The aim of the paper is to establish a relationship between oil prices and several indicators. An unrestricted VAR analysis is carried out. Granger Causality testing and impulse response functions are analysed. There is evidence that lagged values of the oil price variable Granger cause and helps to predict GDP, inflation and interest rates at the 95% significant level. The impulse response functions are then analysed for each variable. The results of the impulse responses show that there is a significant negative impact throughout the short, medium and long term in the UK economy. The principal finding of this paper is that there is sufficient evidence of a countercyclical relationship between oil prices and the UK economy, in one direction. That is when oil prices increase, the economic performance of the UK decreases.


Related Discussions:- Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses

Inflation in sweden, Inflation in Sweden Figure Inflation in Swed...

Inflation in Sweden Figure Inflation in Sweden 1830 - 2010. Source: SCB. There are four aspects which are interesting when we look at inflation data for Sweden

Quality of health care, Explain how changes in the quality of health care w...

Explain how changes in the quality of health care will influence the demand for care.

Change in the level of real gdp, Assume that government purchases decrease ...

Assume that government purchases decrease by $10 billion, with other factors held constant, including the price level. Calculate the change in the level of real GDP demanded for ea

Unusually high period, The consumer price index for the 1978-82 periods and...

The consumer price index for the 1978-82 periods and the GDP deflator follow. This was a period of unusually high, but declining, inflation. (The CPI is equal to 100 in the base ye

Reserves and a reserve requirement, If the Banking system has $500,000 in d...

If the Banking system has $500,000 in demand deposit liabilities, $125,000 in total reserves and a reserve requirement of 15%: What is the maximum amount by which the money supply

Determination of variables in as-ad model, Q. Determination of variables in...

Q. Determination of variables in AS-AD model? Once Y and P are determined, all other endogenous variables would be determined as well. Interest rate is determined by money mark

Demand for money and gdp, Q. Demand for money and GDP? The demand for m...

Q. Demand for money and GDP? The demand for money also relies on the GDP as GDP is closely associated to national income. If you choose to hold a fixed proportion of your wealt

What causes a demand curve to shift, What causes a demand curve to shift? ...

What causes a demand curve to shift? a. Changes into the Prices of Related Goods Substitutes Complements b. Changes into Income Normal Goods Inferio

What do you meant by investment, Q. What do you meant by Investment? Wh...

Q. What do you meant by Investment? When we use the word investment, we characteristically mean 'gross investment'. Fundamentally, gross investment comprises all finished goods

What is profitability analysis, This is an examination of costs and revenue...

This is an examination of costs and revenue to explain whether a venture will make a profit. This is significant information in deciding on whether to make an investment. The lengt

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd