Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

This paper empirically analyses the effect of oil price shocks on key macroeconomic indicators in the United Kingdom.The aim of the paper is to establish a relationship between oil prices and several indicators. An unrestricted VAR analysis is carried out. Granger Causality testing and impulse response functions are analysed. There is evidence that lagged values of the oil price variable Granger cause and helps to predict GDP, inflation and interest rates at the 95% significant level. The impulse response functions are then analysed for each variable. The results of the impulse responses show that there is a significant negative impact throughout the short, medium and long term in the UK economy. The principal finding of this paper is that there is sufficient evidence of a countercyclical relationship between oil prices and the UK economy, in one direction. That is when oil prices increase, the economic performance of the UK decreases.


Related Discussions:- Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses

Calculate the cross price elasticity, Syesha loves to eat Sunday breakfast ...

Syesha loves to eat Sunday breakfast at her local Scrambles restaurant. She usually orders a la carte. Her usual breakfast consists of 2 scrambled eggs, 1 piece of bacon and 2 link

Opportunity set, constructing a opportunity set and budget line for $15 lot...

constructing a opportunity set and budget line for $15 lottery ticket and intending on buying a candy bar for $0.75 and peanut bag for $1.50

Determine what is the yield curve, Determine what is the yield curve Th...

Determine what is the yield curve The yield curve is a graph of interest rates of different maturity (recalculated to yearly rates) at a particular point in time. It is common

Shift in the demand to the right mean, What does a shift in the demand to t...

What does a shift in the demand to the right mean? Why does the demand curve shift?

Positive and normative economics, POSITIVE AND NORMATIVE ECONOMICS E...

POSITIVE AND NORMATIVE ECONOMICS Economics as a social science adopts an analytical approach to the study of changes in economic variables on the actions of human beings. Th

Probability that a randomly selected person from the city, In a city of 120...

In a city of 120,000 people there are 20,000 Norwegians. What is the probability that a randomly selected person from the city will be Norwegian?

Mundel fleming model., The mundelfleming model takes the world interst rate...

The mundelfleming model takes the world interst rate r* as anexogenous variable.Let,consider what happen when this variable changes.a,what maight cause the world interest rate tori

Difference between Quantitative Easing and Monetary Policy, Why is quantita...

Why is quantitative easing used during liquidity trap when it lowers interest rates too?

National product and domestic product, National Product and Domestic Produc...

National Product and Domestic Product  A modern economy produces literally thousands of different goods and services. Some of these goods and services such as rice, wheat, shir

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd