Determine the optimum prices and outputs, Risk Management

Assignment Help:

The basic question in this case is whether Jetliners and Acme Airline should work together to develop a new super sized airframe or should each company seek to develop its own version of the equipment. For the purposes of this analysis, you are to assume the Demand and AVC equations provided below are correct and reflect the additional analysis that representatives of the two companies were able to estimate within the context of the size of the market opportunity where Acme felt that the market would evolve toward more point to point flights diverting traffic form current mega-hub airports secondary airports. The industry could satisfy most of the demand and only 200 - 300 super sized planes would be needed over the next 20 years. Jetliners felt the demand for flights to and from major centers would continue to grow and to prevent saturation a new higher capacity aircraft was needed and as such more than 1,000 super sized planes would be needed over the coming 20 years. Jetliners Be advised that, after further review, the Jetliners analysts concluded the number of new aircraft needed during the next twenty years would be within thirty percent of the upper level outlined by Acme Airline in that context.

A)

Given the demand and cost data you will have available (see information below), briefly describe the process you would use to determine optimum output and price levels in the development and production of the new super sized equipment. The purpose of this section is not to perform any analytical evaluation, but rather provide a verbal description of the process you believe to be appropriate.

 

B)

Given the following:

 

Jetliners

Acme Airline

Demand

P = 182.868 - 0.0003Q

P = 198.6592 - 0.00013Q

AVC Curve

TVC = 104.8822Q - 0.001Q + 0.09Q2

TVC = 25.8678Q - 0.00023Q + 0.4Q2

 

In addition, the joint group analysis determined the market would bear a price per plane somewhere within the following parameters:

Table 1

Price per plane
(million $)

Probability

125

.25

175

.25

225

.5

 

1.  First estimate the price per plane using the estimated prices and probabilities given in Table 1. 

2.  Determine the optimum prices and outputs for both Jetliners and Acme Airline if they decide to proceed individually without collaborating in the development of the super sized aircraft. Use the Demand and AVC equations outlined above in this analysis. Determine the profitability of this approach for each of the companies if the Fixed Costs are $500 million and $700 million for Jetliners and Acme Airline, respectively. 

3.  Now analyze the potential for a collaborative approach by Jetliners and Acme Airline. Assume there is a 50% probability that each of the companies' estimates is accurate in the Demand and Cost equations provided above. (Multiply both the demand and cost curves for each of the entities by 0.5, add them together. Then use that result to determine optimum price/quantity levels if they collaborate.)  Also determine profitability assuming that the joint Fixed Cost is $600 million. 

4.  Finally, summarize the results of your analysis and make a recommendation about what you consider the most appropriate process for Jetliners and Acme Airline to use in the development of the super sized equipment. Use an Excel® spreadsheet to summarize the results. It might also be useful to construct an Excel® section for the quadratic formula that will be required for the analysis. 

 

Answer A

Process that can be used to determine optimum output and price levels is "Regression Analysis". In this process,  the relationship between a dependent variable and one or more independent variables are used to find out optimal output and price.

 

 

Eg: In this process, output quantity will be taken from 10 or 100 and increased gradually for desired optimum level of profit. Where the profit trend starts falling, it is said to be in declining trend. So, the output and price where the profit is optimum is called optimum output and optimum price.

Answer B        
         
Solution 1        
         
  Estimated Price per Plane    
         
    Price per plane Probability Estimated Price
    (million $)
    125 0.25 31.25
    175 0.25 43.75
    225 0.5 112.5
    Estimated Price 187.5
         
         
Solution 2        
         
      Jetliners Acme Airline
    Demand P = 182.868 – 0.0003Q P = 198.6592 – 0.00013Q
    AVC Curve TVC = 104.8822Q – 0.001Q + 0.09Q2 TVC = 25.8678Q – 0.00023Q + 0.4Q2
         
    On Regression analysis application of quantities:


Related Discussions:- Determine the optimum prices and outputs

Steps that a project manager include in risk management, Risk management is...

Risk management is an important aspect of managing a project in order to ensure that the project objectives are completed successfully and with the minimum of undesirable events. T

Discuss country risks, QUESTION 1 Discuss the following terms with supp...

QUESTION 1 Discuss the following terms with supported examples (a) Country risks (b) Funding risks (c) Market risks QUESTION 2 Total return swaps are used by f

Risk management, Several issues have arisen on the Kauri Café Project. Four...

Several issues have arisen on the Kauri Café Project. Four months have passed since the project started. ABC Co. are complaining about not being paid appropriately you initially th

Total revenue and marginal revenue, Problem: Warming Up Luke likes to co...

Problem: Warming Up Luke likes to consumer CDs (good1) and pizzas (good 2). His preference over both goods is given by the utility function If Luke allocates $200 to spe

Requirements to make a risk assessment successful, Question : (a) The ...

Question : (a) The garage manager of a motor vehicle mechanical repair workshop has decided to carry out a risk assessment to ensure compliance with the Occupational Safety an

Basic risky decision problem, Here is a basic risky decision problem: ...

Here is a basic risky decision problem: Using the template below, sketch the results of a sensitivity analysis on P(Deal Succeeds) for a risk-neutral decision maker. How hi

Data security, Data Security: An important issue for all organisations ...

Data Security: An important issue for all organisations is the security of data. Just as documentation require physical security in the face of risk of theft / fire etc, electr

Discuss the application of the actuarial control cycle, Question 1: (i)...

Question 1: (i) Define the following by giving an example: (a) Systemic risk (b) Diversifiable risk (ii) List and describe briefly the different types of ri

Risk management strategy, The risk register and risk management strategy sh...

The risk register and risk management strategy should justify and report on the rationale of the register, priority and its management . Guidelines Risk  is assessed

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd