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The Midwestern Manufacturing Company (MMC) is a large manufacturer of electrical generators. The firm has experienced demand for their generators as shown below:
Year Demand
2003 74
2004 79
2005 80
2006 90
2007 105
2008 142
2009 122
For the questions below, create EXCEL worksheets naming the tabs as indicated.
a. Calculate a forecast for 2010 using a 3 year moving average. Place your results in a worksheet tab named Q1.
b. Calculate a forecast for 2010 using exponential smoothing. Use .7 as your Alpha value. Place your results in worksheet tab Q1.
c. Using Mean Absolute Deviation as your criteria, determine which method performs best. Explain your decision. Place your results in worksheet tab Q1.
A. Use the inequality derived for part C question 3; to obtain an inequality required x *CD = 1 to remain stable against DD invaders. Also draw the ROC diagram discussed in class
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AFRS - Talk about AGENCY FINANCIAL REPORTING SYSTEM.
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To illustrate the importance of model selection. We will use only the first four observations to estimate the function f such that ini t. h = f(h. d) for two different models.
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An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. Find the chance that in the next six trials there will be at least four successes
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