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In May 2012, the yields to maturity in the table below were recorded on Treasury discount bonds. If the expectations theory of the term structure holds, what do bond traders expect the interest rate on five-year discount bonds to be in May 2017, May 2022, May 2027, May 2032, and May 2037? Do bond traders expect the Federal Reserve to lose control of the inflation rate after 2017? Explain. In your explanation, suppose that after May 2017 the real interest rate will average two percent per annum.
Maturity DateYield to Maturity (%/year)May 20170.88May 20222.12May 20272.89May 20323.15May 20373.30May 20423.32
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