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A company is considering whether to develop a new product or consolidate existing product. New product development can either be undertaken through thorough development at a cost of Shs.150,000 or through rapid development at a cost of Shs 80,000 while product consolidation can either be achieved through strengthening the products at a cost of shs 30,000 or through reaping the products at no extra cost. The following are the expected outcomes, accompanying probabilities and the projected revenue for of the options.
Thorough development Rapid development Strengthening product Reaping product
outcomes good mod poor good mod poor good mod poor good poor
probabilities 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.4
revenues 1000000 50000 2000 1000000 50000 2000 400000 20000 6000 20000 2000
Question 1: Should the company develop a new product or consolidate existing product?
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