Generates a sample path of a poisson process

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Consider a counting process in which the rate is a rv η with probability density fη(λ) = αe-αλ for λ 0. Conditional on a given sample value λ for the rate, the counting process is a Poisson process of rate λ (i.e., nature first chooses a sample value λ and then generates a sample path of a Poisson process of that rate λ).

(a) What is Pr{N(t)=n η=λ}, where N(t) is the number of arrivals in the interval (0, t] for some given t > 0?

(b) Show that Pr{N(t)=n}, the unconditional PMF for N(t), is given by αtn Pr{N(t)=n} = ()n+1 .

(c) Find fη(λ N(t)=n), the density of λ conditional on N(t)=n.

(d) Find E [η N(t)=n] and interpret your result for very small with = 0 and for very large with large.

(e) Find E [η N(t)=nS1, S2, ... Sn]. Hint: Consider the distribution of S1, ... Sn conditional on N(t) and η. Find E [η N(t)=nN(τ )=m] for some τ  t.

Text Book: Stochastic Processes: Theory for Applications By Robert G. Gallager.

Reference no: EM13909688

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