Discuss the risk of staying unhedged

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Reference no: EM132946849

Question - NATIONAL (UAE)'s trading currency is Dirham (AED). Today, the company XYZ from the UAE placed a US$10,000,000 order to purchase a water purification system from Bruce Co, U.S.A. This order is of significant size compared to the total budget of XYZ.

The delivery term is 4 months, and upon testing and certification, the company will make full payment 2 months later.

Today, RHB Bank (in the UAE) has offered the following quotes:

Spot rate 4.20 UAE / US$

1-month forward rate 4.21 UAE / US$

6-month forward rate 4.22 UAE / US$

1-month UAE deposit rate 2.45% per year

1-month UAE borrowing rate 4.45% per year

6-month UAE deposit rate 2.55% per year

6-month UAE borrowing rate 4.75% per year

1-month US$ deposit rate 3.5% per year

1-month US$ borrowing rate 5.5% per year

6-month US$ deposit rate 3.65% per year

6-month US$ borrowing rate 5.85% per year

1-month at-the-money put option on 1 million USD at 1.5% premium

1-month at-the-money call option on 1 million USD at 1.5% premium

6-month at-the-money put option on 1 million USD at 2% premium

6-month at-the-money call option on 1 million USD at 2% premium

Required - Discuss the risk of staying unhedged. Compare at least three different hedging strategies and recommend which one the company should adopt if the forward rate is a good prediction of the future rate in 6 months. Show your workings clearly. Conclude which strategy is the best if the spot rate in 6 months is 4 UAE/US$.

Reference no: EM132946849

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