Discuss how changes in wheat prices will affect profit

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Reference no: EM131673193

Assignment- Derivatives & Risk Management

Case

It is January 1, 2017 and Mary Farmer a wheat farmer in Kansas is planning for her September harvest. She is expecting to produce 50,000 bushels and projects her costs to be $30,000. The weather forecast is calling for normal temperatures and average rainfall during the growing season. Farmer calls her broker in Chicago to get an update on the wheat futures market. The wheat futures market pricing snapshot is listed below. One contract equals 5,000 bushels of wheat and is quoted in cents per bushel (e.g. 445 = $4.45/5,000 bushels). She is contemplating whether she should use the futures market. The current spot price for wheat is $3.90/5,000 bushels.

Month

Options

Charts

Last

Change

Prior Settle

Open

High

Low

Volume

Hi / Low Limit

Updated

Legend:
Options
Price Chart

DEC 2016

DEC 2016

Show Price Chart

-

-

390'6

-

-

-

0

No Limit

08:33:39 CT
09 Dec 2016

MAR 2017

MAR 2017

Show Price Chart

406'2

-2'0

408'2

409'0

409'6

406'0

12,854

438'2 / 378'2

08:47:40 CT
09 Dec 2016

MAY 2017

MAY 2017

Show Price Chart

417'2

-1'4

418'6

419'4

420'0

416'2

2,835

448'6 / 388'6

08:47:20 CT
09 Dec 2016

JUL 2017

JUL 2017

Show Price Chart

429'6

-0'4

430'2

430'6

432'0

428'4

2,620

460'2 / 400'2

08:47:33 CT
09 Dec 2016

SEP 2017

SEP 2017

Show Price Chart

445'0

+0'6

444'2

445'4

445'4

442'4

305

474'2 / 414'2

08:46:30 CT
09 Dec 2016

The next day Farmer gets a visit from Han Changfu who is a buyer for a co-operative in China. Farmer has known Changfufor a couple of years and has heard that other farmers in the area have sold their crops to him. But, Farmer has never done business with him.Changfu offers a contract to buy Farmer's wheat crop for September delivery for 450'0 per 5,000 bushels. The current exchange rate is 0.14 Yuan to U.S. Dollar.

Discuss the background of the case and the pros and cons of Mary Farmer's options for selling her wheat. Discuss how changes in wheat prices will affect her profit and loss in each transaction. Also, discuss Han Changfu's risks, returns and other issues he may face.

Attachment:- Derivatives-Case.rar

Reference no: EM131673193

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