Demographic variables and macroeconomic variables

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List the determinants of the supply of TESCO Plc and identify what would cause the supply of goods and/or services to fall/rise. Draw a supply curve diagram to illustrateCity M, Ontario, Canada, is the third largest city in Ontario and a neighbor to the City of Toronto. City M is located within the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and the Toronto Region, with a population of 7.7 million people and 281,000 businesses (City of City M, 2022). The region's GDP in 2013 was approximately $560 billion (US), making it one of the largest economies in North America, with impressive innovation and tech hubs (City of City M, 2022). The business community in City M is diverse and robust, with some of the biggest knowledge-based industries in Canada. These sectors include advanced manufacturing, financial services, information and communications technology, life sciences, smart logistics, etc. (City of City M, 2022).

City M is a rapidly expanding municipality comprising well-established and newly developed communities. Over the past two decades, there have been significant changes in City M's families and children. The city has a relatively young population, with 16% children, one of Ontario's highest percentages (Region of Peel, n.d.). 2016 City M had a total population of 103,425 aged 0-12 years, expected to grow by 10% between 2016 and 2026 (Region of Peel, n.d.). Research shows that public investment in early years and child care can drive regional economic development (Region of Peel, n.d.). The need for child care has increased due to the rise in dual-income earner families over the past three decades (Region of Peel, n.d.). Access to child care is an economic driver that allows more people, especially women, to participate in the workforce or attend school, increasing Gross Domestic Product and income from taxes (Region of Peel, n.d.).

The service that I am proposing for City M would be assisting parents in finding reliable childcare for parents outside of daytime hours. There are various options available to parents during the day, such as drop-ins and traditional daycare, but those services typically close around 6:00 pm with strict policies around being late. In City M, the only options for childcare in the evenings would be a nanny, babysitters, or family and friends. People do not always want to impose on their families; nannies and babysitters can be expensive. Parents can also feel uneasy about not knowing if the people they leave their children with are good caretakers. According to city statistics, only 63% of the demand for care for children under four is being met, which is a cause for concern for families. This suggests a strong consumer base for a solution to this issue. Access to a wider and more flexible range of programs, including extended hours and weekend care, is needed. However, parents often need help finding suitable programs that meet their needs. To address this issue, this business aims to provide local parents with the best evening care solution.

The main concept of the business is that it would offer those who currently work in daycare the opportunity to work evenings and weekends watching children. They could be known entities to parents if they were proven resources for daycares. If not, then they would at least be viewed as more reliable. The workers could set their prices, and the parents could decide if they could abide by them. Therefore, the elasticity of demand for some daycare workers could be more than for others. When the business first launches and fewer workers are available, higher prices could be dictated as the supply would likely be lower than the demand. However, the goal would be that with more available daycare workers, the cost would eventually regulate depending on their experience. They would have the option to change their prices depending on whether people are contacting them for work. They may need to adjust depending on their desire to work additional hours. The parents would only see the bill rates, including the markup for business operations and the rate to the worker. As the business continues its operations, we will track workers' rates. We would eventually use this data to advise new workers on what rates they could dictate based on their experience and when they can work. This system would only support workers who have been confirmed to work at a daycare facility currently. Potential customers would be parents seeking evening child care, whether the children attend daycare or have already started school to expand the demand. We would look to partner with local daycares and schools to advertise the service, which is likely to be successful should their workers choose to leverage the opportunity. As we would target the local population, it is less likely to make commuting an issue unless demand outweighs supply at a given time and a worker is willing to travel.

Given the recent inflation in the market, daycare workers may be more open to an easy way to increase their income. In general, 85% of Canadians worry that their earnings do not match the growing cost of living (Ovid, 2023). Therefore, it makes sense that 63% of gig workers have opted for a side job in 2023 due to the surging costs and inflation (Ovid, 2023). While workers could inform parents about the offering, having a daycare advertise the service would help parents with the peace of mind that their children would be in good hands. It also has the benefit for the daycare that they are supporting their workers in taking on additional hours if they choose to do so.

Having dependable child care during evenings and weekends can be a luxury for some but a necessity for others. It is difficult for those working in some industries to work those hours to find affordable child care. While this service would not qualify for subsidies as it is not a licensed daycare, there may be opportunities where a discount could be discussed between the worker and the parents if it were a regular job. However, it would be at the discretion of the worker.

The business would not have a brick-and-mortar location but would operate solely via phone and a phone application (app) to save operational costs. Payments would also be completed via the app, allowing workers and parents to review each other to promote accountability. While some parties may be tempted to circumvent the business, it could lead to avoidable negative tax implications.

Identify variables that could be used to predict demand and production. Include at least one variable from each of the following three categories:

- Macroeconomic variables that might impact demand and/or supply in the industry. (economic indicators)

- Demographic variables. Consider what these demographics tell you about the potential customers of the business you are describing.

- Production characteristics in this industry such as economies of scale, economies of scope, and/or any unique production characteristics that might apply.

Reference no: EM133519273

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