Decide whether to build a small or a large facility

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A firm that plans to expand its product line must decide whether to build a small or a large facility to produce the new products. If it builds a small facility and demand is low, the net present value after deducting for building costs will be \$400,000. If demand is high, the firm can either maintain the small facility or expand it. Expansion would have a net present value of \$450,000 and maintaining the small facility would have a net present value of \$50,000. If a large facility is built and demand is high, the estimated net present value is \$800,000. If demand turns out to be low, the net present value will be -\$10,000. The probability that demand will be high is estimated to be 0.60, and the probability of low demand is estimated to be 0.40. Analyze using a decision tree diagram.

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