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The probabilitiesHard Rock Cafe's annual Rockiest
Clay Why bark, a soft-drink vendor at Hard Rock Cafe's annual Rockiest, created a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd):
States of Nature (demand)
Alternatives
Dig
Average
Small
Large stock
$22,000
$12,000
-$2,000
Average stock
$14,000
$10,000
$6,000
Small stock
$ 9,000
$ 8,000
$4,000
The probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.3 for a big demand, 0.5 for an average demand, and 0.2 for a small demand.
a) Determine the alternative that provides Clay Why bark the greatest expected monetary value (HMV).
b) Compute the expected value of perfect information.
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