#title.Decision Models., Advanced Statistics

Assignment Help:
I have a problem I am trying to solve. An oil company thinks that there is a 60% chance that there is oil in the land they own. Before drilling they run a soil test. When there is oil in teh ground, the soil test comes back positive(indicating oil) 90% of the time. When there is NO oil in teh ground, the soil test is positive(indicating oil) 20% of the time.
What is the probability that a test comes back positive-indicating oil.
My ans- P(BUP)=P(B)+P(P)-P(BnP)=.900+.600-.200= 1.3
b)What is the probability that there is oil in teh ground, if the test comes back positive?
Ans-P=1-1.3= 0.3 comes back positive.

Related Discussions:- #title.Decision Models.

Catastrophe theory, Catastrophe theory : A theory of how little is the cont...

Catastrophe theory : A theory of how little is the continuous changes in the independent variables which can have unexpected, discontinuous effects on the dependent variables. Exam

Describe law of likelihood, Law of likelihood : Within framework of the sta...

Law of likelihood : Within framework of the statistical model, a particular set of data supports one statistical hypothesis or assumption better than another if the likelihood of t

Autocorrelation, This graph for Cross Correlation Function for RES1, RES1 s...

This graph for Cross Correlation Function for RES1, RES1 shows that there is possibly negative autocorrelation as there are alternating spikes; also the first spike is negative whi

Over dispersion, Over dispersion is the phenomenon which occurs when empir...

Over dispersion is the phenomenon which occurs when empirical variance in the data exceeds the nominal variance under some supposed model. Most often encountered when the modeling

Auto correlation, Auto correlation : The correlation of the internal observ...

Auto correlation : The correlation of the internal observations in the time series, generally expressed as a function of the time lag between the observations. It is also used for

Likelihood, Likelihood is the probability of a set of observations provide...

Likelihood is the probability of a set of observations provided the value of some parameter or the set of parameters. For instance, the likelihood of the random sample of n observ

LASPEYERES QUANTITY INDEX, HOW TO OBTAIN THE LASPEYRES QUANTITY INDEX AND T...

HOW TO OBTAIN THE LASPEYRES QUANTITY INDEX AND THE FORMULA

Ascertainment bias, Ascertainment bias : A feasible form of bias, particula...

Ascertainment bias : A feasible form of bias, particularly in the retrospective studies, which arises from the relationship between the exposure to the risk factor and the probabil

Data mining, The non-trivial extraction of implicit, earlier unknown and po...

The non-trivial extraction of implicit, earlier unknown and potentially useful information from data, specifically high-dimensional data, using pattern recognition, artificial inte

Explain prospective studies, Prospective study : The studies in which indiv...

Prospective study : The studies in which individuals are followed-up over the period of time. A general example of this type of investigation is where the samples of individuals ar

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd