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The final and most important part of the methodology is the impulse response functions which will provide the most information with regards to the aim of the project. In order to analyse the variables response to an oil price shock, the VAR has to transform into its Moving Average representation. The moving average representation is necessary to find the impulse response function of the VAR model. In this project I will assess the impulse responses using the typical Cholesky Decomposition. From these responses, future responses of each variable to a shock in oil price can be analysed. Impulse responses display the response of the future values of each variable to a one standard deviation oil price shock, whilst making the assumption that the shock normalises and returns to zero in subsequent periods. Furthermore it is assumed that all other errors are also zero. The underlying thought behind shocking one variable whilst ensuring that the others remain constant is the most effective way of measuring the impact of an oil price shock on other macroeconomic variables. Therefore this section will form the strongest case as to whether natural oil price shocks impact positively or negatively on the key macroeconomic variables in the UK.
One problem in using exchange rate when comparing GDP per capital between countries is that is fluctuates a lot. A way of avoiding dependence on exchange rate is to use purchasing
Bread is a related good to peanut butter: show on the graph of the market for peanut butter, the impact on the price and quantity from an increase in the price of bread.
Aggregate Supply (AS) We now shift our attention to the supply side of the macroeconomy. Aggregate supply explains the production and pricing side of the economy and the behav
Thread less is an example of a firm building on its customer base to use new products and also to participate in the design and vetting of popular designs. In the summer of 2010, D
factors in economic growth
Over the last year both the supply and demand for oil in the US has gone up. What might have caused this and what happened to the price and quantity of oil?
As previously stated, the aim of the paper is to observe and analyse the effects of oil price shocks on key macroeconomic indicators in the UK economy. From this the aim is to conc
An experiment is explained by an exponential random variable with mean ? and x1 and x2. A proposed test of the hypothesis ?=2 next to the alternative ?=½ uses the critical region {
Critically examine Say''s law of market
A sample of 60 mutual funds was taken and the mean return in the sample was 13% with a standard deviation of 6.9%. The return on a particular index of stocks (against which the mut
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