Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses, Macroeconomics

Assignment Help:

This paper empirically analyses the effect of oil price shocks on key macroeconomic indicators in the United Kingdom.The aim of the paper is to establish a relationship between oil prices and several indicators. An unrestricted VAR analysis is carried out. Granger Causality testing and impulse response functions are analysed. There is evidence that lagged values of the oil price variable Granger cause and helps to predict GDP, inflation and interest rates at the 95% significant level. The impulse response functions are then analysed for each variable. The results of the impulse responses show that there is a significant negative impact throughout the short, medium and long term in the UK economy. The principal finding of this paper is that there is sufficient evidence of a countercyclical relationship between oil prices and the UK economy, in one direction. That is when oil prices increase, the economic performance of the UK decreases.


Related Discussions:- Effects of an oil price shock - empirically analyses

Inflation, discuss the action the procurement function should take to achie...

discuss the action the procurement function should take to achieve raw materials at economic cost durin inflation

Value of this expansion project, Bruno's Lunch Counter is expanding and exp...

Bruno's Lunch Counter is expanding and expects operating cash flows of $26,000 a year for 4 years as a result. This expansion requires $39,000 in new fixed assets. These assets wil

Economies as a scope, If there are economies of scope and if the price for ...

If there are economies of scope and if the price for each product equals marginal cost, is it possible for a firm to cover all its costs? If the firm's average cost of production d

Rapidly rises housing prices, Why did housing prices rise rapidly during 20...

Why did housing prices rise rapidly during 2002-2005? Why did the mortgage default rate increase so sharply during 2006 and 2007 even before the 2008-2009 recession began?

The crowding out effect, what goals and policies are being discused to addr...

what goals and policies are being discused to address the crowding out effect?

Illustrate diffrent types of money, Q. Illustrate diffrent types of money? ...

Q. Illustrate diffrent types of money? In most countries, one may identify two 'types of money': Bank deposits Currency and coins   The total value of all th

Economics, what is a limitation of nation income

what is a limitation of nation income

Franchises ensure appropriate international markets, How can franchises ens...

How can franchises ensure their products are appropriate for international markets?

MONOPOLY, WHAT ARE THE SOURCES OF MONOPOLY

WHAT ARE THE SOURCES OF MONOPOLY

Write Your Message!

Captcha
Free Assignment Quote

Assured A++ Grade

Get guaranteed satisfaction & time on delivery in every assignment order you paid with us! We ensure premium quality solution document along with free turntin report!

All rights reserved! Copyrights ©2019-2020 ExpertsMind IT Educational Pvt Ltd