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In order to observe the correlations between each variable, the most effective method to use is Vector Autoregression (VAR). VAR estimation uses a system of simultaneous equations to observe interdependencies throughout multiple time-series data.
The VAR is unrestricted; it will produce a theory-free estimation of economic relationships. It is imperative to understand that the estimation will not test any economic theories, nor will it analyse any government policies such as inflation targeting. The VAR will purely estimate the correlations between the specified macroeconomic variables over the time period. This paper's empirical set-up is largely borrowed from Jiménez-Rodríguez, R. and Sánchez, M. (2004) as their study was very similar to this paper, but focuses onseveral OECD countries, not just the UK. The borrowed methodology is using an unconstrained vector autoregression which is then transformed into its Moving Average Representation form in order to estimate the impulse response functions. The following vector autoregression of order p, where p is the number of lags is estimated;
Where, = GDP, = Oil Prices, = Inflation rate, = Interest Rate, = Unemployment rate and = Real exchange rate. Finally, is the error term for each equation.
An investor has a series of three $15,000 payments expected to be realized at the end of years three, four, and five. Calculate the present value P at time zero and the correspondi
Recently, a bank was trying to decide what fee to charge for "expedited payments" - payments that the bank would transmit extra-speedily to enable customers to avoid late fees on c
If equilibrium price falls and the equilibrium quantity of the good purchased decreases, what has happened to either the supply curve or to the demand curve? a. Demand decreased
Commercial Banks: Balance Sheet The accompaning table gives the balance sheet of a commercial bank in a simplified format. The balance sheet contains particulars of a Bank's cu
Q. What do you mean by Capital Flows? With free capital flows, this is a very unreasonable assumption. If we domestic interest rate increase against the foreign interest rates,
The Widget Manufacturing Company must replace a widget machine, and is evaluating the capabilities of two systems. A requirement of management is that the machine chosen must be p
You are the manager of an organization in America that distributes blood to hospitals in all 50 states and the District of Columbia. A recent report indicates that nearly 50 Americ
From estimating the aforementioned unrestricted VAR, a table of coefficient and statistics will be produced. From this table, certain statistical information can be analysed, such
state and explain two factors that cause the shifts in the balance of payments curve.
Q. Nominal interest rate and expected inflation? When we have inflation, we can't, of course, presume that expected inflation is zero. So real interest rate will no longer be e
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