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Assume you have predicted the following returns for Stock A and B in four possible states of the economy. What is the expected return of each stock? Calculate the variance and standard deviation for Stocks A and B.
State
Probability
Stock A Return
Stock B Return
Expansion
.15
22%
17%
Normal
.50
15%
12%
Mild Recession
.20
5%
2%
Recession
1%
-2%
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