### Forecasting interest rates based on prevailing conditions

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Forecasting Interest Rates Based on Prevailing Conditions.

Consider the prevailing conditions for the following factors: inflation (including oil prices), the economy, the budget deficit, and the Fed's monetary policy that could affect interest rates. Based on prevailing conditions, do you think interest rates will likely increase or decrease during the next 6 months? Please discuss the impact of each of the factors on your opinion. Offer some logic or current reference(s) to support your answer. Which factor do you think will have the biggest impact on interest rates?

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