Risk management and financial institutions, Risk Management

 On September 25,2008 a portfolio worth $10 million consisting of investments in four stock indices: DJIA, FTSE 100, CAC 40 and NIKKEI 225. The value of the investment in each index o September 25, 2008 is shown in Table 12.1.  An excel spreadsheet containing 501  days of historical data on the closing prices of the four indices and a complete set of Var are on the authors website:

Investment portfolio used for VaR Calculations.

Index                                       Portfolio Value ($000s)

DJIA                                          $4,000

FTSE 100                                  $3,000

CAC 40                                     $1,000

Nikkei 225                                  $2,000

Total                                          $10,000

Table

Scenarios generated for September 26, 2008

Scenario Number   DJIA       FTSE100   CAC 40    Nikkei 224   Portfolio Value (000s) Loss ( $000s)

1                          10,977.08  5,187.46     4,236.71  12,252.62    10,021.502                   -21.502

2                          10,925.97   5,234.87    4,275.48   12,155.54     10,023.327                  -23.327

3                           11,070.01  5,164.10     4,186.01   11,986.84    9,985,478                    14.522                             

.

.

499                       10,831.43  5,057.36   4,117.75   12,030.80         9828.450                   171.550

500                        11,222.53  5,300.42  4,342.14     11,899.00       10,141.826               -141.826

 

2) Ch 19 problem 19.13 Discuss whether hedge funds are good or bad for the liquidity of markets.

 

3) CH 20 problem 20.15 Suppose that a financial institution uses an imprecise model for pricing and hedging a particular  type of structured product. Discuss how, if at all, it is likely to realize its mistake.

4) CH20 problem 20.16 A Future prices is currently at $40. The risk-free interest rate is 5%. Some news is expected tomorrow that will cause the volatility over the next three months to be either 10% or 30%. There is a 60% chance of the first outcome and a 40% chance of the second outcome. Use the derivaGem Software to calculate a volatility smile for three-month options.

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