Explain o. j. simpson paradox, Advanced Statistics

O. J. Simpson paradox is a term coming from the claim made by the defence lawyer in murder trial of O. J. Simpson. The lawyer acknowledged that the statistics demonstrate that only the one-tenth of one percent of men who abuse their wives go on to murder them, with the implication that one or two instances of alleged abuse gives very little evidence that the wife's murder was committed by abusive husband. The argument simply reflects that most of the wives are not murdered and has no relevance once the murder has been committed and there is a body. What is required to be considered here is, given that the wife with an abusive partner has been murdered, what is the chance that murderer is her abuser husband? It is this conditional probability which provides the relevant evidence for jury to consider, and estimates of the possibility which range from 0.5 to 0.8.

Posted Date: 7/30/2012 7:38:43 AM | Location : United States

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