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Question:
a) Using illustrative and numerical example, differentiate between speculation and arbitraging in the context of foreign exchange market.
b) One year borrowing and deposit interest rates are 12% and 10% respectively in the US and 10% and 8.89% respectively in Switzerland. The spot exchange rate for the US dollars is $14 to the Swiss Francs. The 12-month forward rate is $14.52. The economies are pegged together, and have been so for a number of years.
i) Suggest a way you might profit from the pricing inconsistency that is presented here, assuming you have no initial investment funds.
ii) The situation persist forever? Explain your answer.
iii) What should be the spot rate which would bring a no-arbitrage situation?
(i) Calculate the unweighted average daily variance for the time series. Explain any assumptions or simplifications you have made, and the working for each step.
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