What differences are observable regarding the forecasts

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The ADJO Prison Services Company is a for-profit entity that generates additional cash flows for a corrections facility. These cash flows are used to support the operating costs of the prison environment. ADJO makes customized cups that are sold both to the general pub- lic and within the justice system. The cost of these cups is $8.00 per cup. The fixed costs of operations are $1100 per month, and the vari- able costs are $5.56 per cup. Given these data, what are the break- even values for both product units and financial value?

Table 1 Crime Quantities by Category

Year

Population

Violent Crime

Robbery

Burglary

1992

255,029,699

1,932,274

672,478

2,979,884

1993

257,782,608

1,926,017

659,870

2,834,808

1994

260,327,021

1,857,670

618,949

2,712,774

1995

262,803,276

1,798,792

580,509

2,593,784

1996

265,228,572

1,688,540

535,594

2,506,400

1997

267,783,607

1,636,096

498,534

2,460,526

1998

270,248,003

1,533,887

447,186

2,332,735

1999

272,690,813

1,426,044

409,371

2,100,739

2000

281,421,906

1,425,486

408,016

2,050,992

2001

285,317,559

1,439,480

423,557

2,116,531

2002

287,973,924

1,423,677

420,806

2,151,252

2003

290,788,976

1,383,676

414,235

2,154,834

2004

293,656,842

1,360,088

401,470

2,144,446

2005

296,507,061

1,390,745

417,438

2,155,448

2006

299,398,484

1,435,123

449,246

2,194,993

2007

301,621,157

1,422,970

447,324

2,190,198

2008

304,059,724

1,394,461

443,563

2,228,887

2009

307,006,550

1,325,896

408,742

2,203,313

2010

309,330,219

1,251,248

369,089

2,168,459

2011

311,591,917

1,203,564

354,396

2,188,005

THOUGHT AND DISCUSSION QUESTIONS

Table 1 is an excerpt of data contained within the 2011 Uniform Crime Reports database of the Federal Bureau of Investigation. Use this table to solve the problems given below.

1. Refer to Table 1 Using the MAM paradigm, predict the forecasted values of population, violent crime, robbery, and burglary that may occur during 2012.

2. Refer to Table 1 Using the exponential smoothing method, predict the forecasted values of population, violent crime, robbery, and burglary that may occur during 2012.

3. Refer to Table 1 Using the LSM paradigm, predict the forecasted values of population, violent crime, robbery, and burglary that may occur during 2012.

4. Based on the outcomes of the preceding questions, what differences are observable regarding the forecasts? If you believe differences are exhibited within the outcomes, why do you believe these differences occur?

Reference no: EM13899282

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