Firm builds small facility and demand turns out to be low

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Reference no: EM131159087

A firm must decide whether to construct a small, medium, or large stamping plant. A consultant’s report indicates a .20 probability that demand will be low and an .80 probability that demand will be high. If the firm builds a small facility and demand turns out to be low, the net present value will be $42 million. If demand turns out to be high, the firm can either subcontract and realize the net present value of $42 million or expand greatly for a net present value of $48 million. The firm could build a medium-size facility as a hedge: If demand turns out to be low, its net present value is estimated at $22 million; if demand turns out to be high, the firm could do nothing and realize a net present value of $46 million, or it could expand and realize a net present value of $50 million. If the firm builds a large facility and demand is low, the net present value will be −$20 million, whereas high demand will result in a net present value of $72 million. Perform sensitivity analysis on P (high). (Round your answers to nearest whole number. Negative amount should be indicated by a minus sign.) Intercept Slope I Small + x II Medium + x III Large + x Small and large EV same at x = million.

Reference no: EM131159087

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