Explain probability problem explained in solution

Reference no: EM13120550

Probability Problem explained in this solution
Supose a pill exists with the property that one out of every 100 such pills contains a lethal amount of a substance, and that the other 99 are harmless. Caluclate how many people would be expected to die if 1,000 people each take 1 pill and if 1,000 people each take 10 pills. If 1,000 people take a single pill we would expect 10 of them to die. If the dose is 10 times as great (10 pills per person) about 95.6 or 97 people will die. I have calculated what the expected number of deaths would be if 1,000 people each took 50 pills (about 40 die), 100 pills (about 63 die) and 500 pills (about 93 die). Is that correct and how does the linear hypothesis (LH) break down at large doeses of spiked pills? Assuming the LH is correct for low doses of radiation, why is it likely to break down at very large radiation doses?

The way I did the calculations was:
For 10 pills:
(0.99)^10 = 0.9044
1-0.9044 = 0.956
95.6 people

For 50 pills:
(0.99)^50 = 0.605
1-0.605 = 0.395
Which gives me 39.5 people. That is the way that my book figured it out for 10 people. I just did to the 50th power instead of to the 10th power. Am I not doing it correct?

Reference no: EM13120550

Questions Cloud

How may ml of 0.450 n sodium hydroxide would be required : A vinegar sample contained 5.20 % acetic acid. How may mL of 0.450 N sodium hydroxide would be required to titrate 25.00 mL of the vinegar sample

Find probabbility that the mean score is below a value : The mean of major student taking the GRE test in 2010 was 1000 with a standard deviation of 230. if you select a random sample of 75 students, what is the probabbility that the mean score is below 950?

Algebra-bug problem : If it takes a colony of termites one day to devour a block of wood that is 2 inches wide, 2 inches long, and 2 inches high, then how long will it take them to devour a block of wood that is 4 inches wide,

Explain how thick should barriers be to safely stop a car : A person wearing a seat belt can withstand an acceleration of -3.0 x 10^2 m/s^2. Explain how thick should barriers be to safely stop a car that hits a barrier at 110 km/h?

Explain probability problem explained in solution : Probability Problem explained in this solution. Supose a pill exists with the property that one out of every 100 such pills contains a lethal amount of a substance, and that the other 99 are harmless. Caluclate how many people would be expected to..

Tax consequences to bluejay : What are the tax consequences to Bluejay and to Redbird as a result of Bluejay's liquidation?

What is the reason for the apparent inconsistency : A not-for-profit organization receives a restricted gift. When, and in which type of fund, should it recognize the revenue? When, and in which type of fund, should it recognize the related expense? What is the reason for the apparent inconsistency..

Evaluate what is the distance between the two dark fringes : Evaluate what is the distance between the two dark fringes on either side of the central bright fringe?

Calculate concentration of carbonic acid : The pH of a bicarbonate-carbonic acid buffer is 8.00. Calculate the ratio of the concentration of carbonic acid (H2CO3) to that of the bicarbonate ion (HCO3-).

User Account

All Pages