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Emergency calls to Winter Park, Florida's 911 system, for the past 24 weeks are as follows: (Attached Excel Data)
(a) evaluate the exponentially smoothed forecast of calls for each week. Suppose an initial forecast of 50 calls in the first week and use smoothing constant for forecasts=0.1 evaluate is the forecast for the 25th week?
(b) Reforecast each period using smoothing constant for forecasts= 0.6
(c) Actual calls during the 25th week were 85. Which smoothing constant gives a superior forecast?Week Calls Week Calls Week Calls1 50 9 35 17 552 35 10 20 18 403 25 11 15 19 354 40 12 40 20 605 45 13 55 21 756 35 14 35 22 507 20 16 25 23 408 30 16 55 24 65
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