Determining the counterterrorism pressure

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Ok so you identify the problem, how do you think we can fight it? 200 words please list references

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Paradigm three - a lone wolf AQAM by 2025 - is the most probably but there may be some remnants of paradigm two - an affiliate driven AQAM - still lingering as groups struggle for territorial gains. The other three paradigms are highly unlikely. AQAM will largely turn to the lone wolf paradigm out of necessity. Counterterrorism pressure has already begun taking its toll on AQ central and affiliate leadership.  This pressure will continue into 2025, severely limiting AQ's ability to maintain any type of centralized structure. Even loosely affiliated splinter organizations will find it difficult to maintain any type of hierarchy or control territory for a significant amount of time.  Globalization and international political pressure will continue to reduce traditional safe havens in areas such as the Pakistan-Afghan border and the Middle East. Syria's conflict will likely have burned out as well, reducing the number of safe havens there. On the other hand, lone wolf terrorism will flourish because it does not require many of the components that intelligence and law enforcement exploit to implement counterterrorism strategies - there is no command, communication, outside funding trail, or even training involved (Center for Strategic and International Studies, 2011, p. 28). Additionally, the use of the web and media to spread ideology and incite the lone wolf is increasing. AQAM will take this path of least resistance.

Reference no: EM131439685

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