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You are considering setting up a firm to produce widgets. The cost of the project is $30 today. The demand for widgets is uncertain. It can be either high or low with equal probability. When the demand is high cash flows in t = 1 are $66 and when the demand is low cash flows in t = 1 are $34. The discount rate is 10%.
a) What is the NPV of the project?
b) Suppose you can commission a study that tells you whether the demand for widgets will be high or low. The study takes one year to complete. That is, if you commission the study you must decide in t = 1 whether to invest. If you invest the cash flows will arrive in t = 2. What is the maximum amount you are willing to pay for the study today?
Simpkins Corporation does not pay any dividends because it is expanding rapidly and needs to retain all of its earnings. However, investors expect Simpkins to begin paying dividends, with the first dividend of $1.25 coming 3 years from today.
Calculate the required investment in NOWC for the three years of the project. Use these estimates of NOWC to calculate the Cash Flow from NOWC.
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