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The following time series shows the sales of a particular product over the past 12 months:
Month
1
Sales
105
7
145
2
135
8
140
3
120
9
100
4
10
80
5
90
11
6
12
110
a. Construct a time series plot. What type of pattern exists in the data?
b. Use a = 0.3 to compute the exponential smoothing values for the time series.
c. Use Excel Solver or LINGO to find the value of a that minimizes MSE. (Hint: Mini- mize the sum of squared error.)
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